Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000250 0.000279 0.000310 0.000347 0.000388 0.000433 0.000486
2025-02-02 0.000203 0.000246 0.000297 0.000361 0.000441 0.000538 0.000666
2025-02-09 0.000168 0.000215 0.000275 0.000357 0.000466 0.000610 0.000813
2025-02-16 0.000146 0.000197 0.000263 0.000360 0.000497 0.000689 0.000980
2025-02-23 0.000128 0.000179 0.000250 0.000357 0.000517 0.000752 0.001132
2025-03-02 0.000116 0.000167 0.000242 0.000359 0.000542 0.000826 0.001309
2025-03-09 0.000105 0.000156 0.000233 0.000358 0.000562 0.000892 0.001483
2025-03-16 0.000092 0.000141 0.000216 0.000342 0.000555 0.000913 0.001584
2025-03-23 0.000086 0.000134 0.000210 0.000344 0.000577 0.000985 0.001785
2025-03-30 0.000082 0.000131 0.000212 0.000357 0.000621 0.001099 0.002081
2025-04-06 0.000075 0.000123 0.000202 0.000349 0.000624 0.001141 0.002244
2025-04-13 0.000067 0.000112 0.000188 0.000331 0.000607 0.001141 0.002321
2025-04-20 0.000063 0.000107 0.000184 0.000334 0.000631 0.001228 0.002604
2025-04-27 0.000061 0.000106 0.000187 0.000349 0.000682 0.001378 0.003059
2025-05-04 0.000057 0.000100 0.000181 0.000345 0.000694 0.001447 0.003344
2025-05-11 0.000053 0.000097 0.000178 0.000348 0.000721 0.001554 0.003739
2025-05-18 0.000050 0.000092 0.000172 0.000345 0.000734 0.001629 0.004073
2025-05-25 0.000047 0.000089 0.000169 0.000347 0.000758 0.001736 0.004515
2025-06-01 0.000045 0.000085 0.000165 0.000346 0.000775 0.001828 0.004936
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000079 0.000155 0.000331 0.000756 0.001826 0.005084
2025-06-15 0.000039 0.000076 0.000153 0.000333 0.000779 0.001937 0.005600
2025-06-22 0.000038 0.000076 0.000155 0.000345 0.000831 0.002135 0.006442
2025-06-29 0.000036 0.000072 0.000149 0.000338 0.000829 0.002184 0.006806